Economic Data Puts the EUR and USD in Focus, with Italian Politics and COVID-19 to Test the EUR

by Warrior2

Italian politics and COVID-19 vaccination rates remain negatives for the EUR. Economic data from the EUR and the U.S will influence market risk appetite later in the day.

Earlier in the Day:

It’s was a relatively busy start to the day on the economic calendar this morning. The Japanese Yen and the Aussie Dollar were in action. Economic data from the UK and from China were also in focus in the early part of the day.

For the Japanese Yen

In November, core machinery orders increased by 1.5%, following a 17.1% jump in October. Economists had forecast a 6.2% slide. Year-on-year, core machinery orders were down by 11.3%, following a 2.8% increase in October. Economists had forecast a 15.4% tumble.

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The Japanese Yen moved from ¥103.814 to ¥103.812 against the U.S Dollar upon release of the numbers. At the time of writing, the Japanese Yen was down by 0.18% to ¥104.08 against the U.S Dollar

For the Aussie Dollar

Building permits increased by 2.6% in November, following a 3.3% rise in October.

According to the ABS, private sector houses rose 6.1%, while private sector dwellings excluding houses fell 3.9%.

The Aussie Dollar moved from $0.77485 to $0.77466 upon release of the stats that preceded trade data from China. At the time of writing, the Aussie Dollar was up by 0.09% to $0.7740.

From the UK

The RICS House Price Balance slipped from 66% to 65% in December. Economists had forecast a decline to 62%.

The Pound moved from $1.36460 to $1.36464 upon release of the figures.

From China

In December, China’s trade surplus widened from $75.4bn to $78.17bn. Economists had forecast a narrowing to $72.35bn.

  • Exports rose by 18.1%, year-on-year, following a 21% jump in November. Economists had forecast a 15% rise.
  • Imports increased by a more modest 6.5%, following a 4.5% rise in November. Economists had forecast a 5% increase.

The Aussie Dollar moved from $0.77401 to $0.77416 upon release of the trade data.

Elsewhere

At the time of writing, the Kiwi Dollar was up by 0.07% to $0.7183.Advertisement

The Day Ahead:

For the EUR

It’s a relatively quiet day ahead on the economic calendar. German GDP numbers for the year are due out today. With ECB President Lagarde standing by the ECB economic projections, today’s figures will give some idea of what to expect for the Euro bloc.

The ECB monetary policy meeting minutes will also garner some attention this afternoon.

Away from the economic calendar, expect COVID-19 news updates and Italian politics to also influence.

To support the optimistic economic outlook, EU member states will need to ramp up vaccination rates near-term.

From Italy, uncertainty over the government coalition will be another test.

At the time of writing, the EUR was down by 0.06% to $1.2150.

For the Pound

It’s another particularly quiet day ahead on the economic calendar. There are no material stats to provide the Pound with direction.

A lack of stats will continue to leave the Pound in the hands of COVID-19 news.

At the time of writing, the Pound was down by 0.03% to $1.3635.

Across the Pond

It’s a relatively quiet day ahead on the economic calendar. The weekly jobless claims figures are due out later today.

Expect plenty of interest in the first set of numbers of the year. Influence on market risk appetite will depend upon stimulus updates from Capitol Hill.

Away from the economic calendar, expect news from Capitol Hill and COVID-19 news to remain the key driver near-term.

At the time of writing, the Dollar Spot Index was up by 0.11% to 90.451.

For the Loonie

It’s a quiet day on the economic data front, with no material stats due out to provide the markets with direction.

The lack of stats will leave the Loonie in the hands of market risk sentiment on the day.

A sizeable stimulus package would support further upside for crude oil prices and the Loonie near-term.

At the time of writing, the Loonie was up by 0.02% to C$1.2696 against the U.S Dollar.

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