President Donald Trump trails by 10 percentage points among voters nationally in the final days of his re-election campaign, facing substantial public anxiety over the coronavirus pandemic but with broad approval of his management of the economy, a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll finds.
Former Vice President Joe Biden leads Trump, 52% to 42%, in the poll’s final reading of voter opinion before Election Day, essentially unchanged from Biden’s 11-point advantage in mid-October. In particular, women and seniors have turned against the president, the poll finds, with both groups favoring Biden by double-digit margins.
However, the survey finds the race tightening when the landscape is narrowed to a set of 12 battleground states. Biden holds a 6-point lead across those states, 51% to 45%, compared with a 10-point lead last month.
Biden’s advantage in swing states is within the poll’s margin of error and corresponds with the many swing-state surveys that show close races and a potential path for Trump to build an Electoral College majority without winning the national popular vote, as he did in 2016.
“This election is probably the most competitive 10-point race I’ve seen,” said Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who conducted the survey with Democrat Jeff Horwitt. Trump’s support remains strong among his base of largely working-class, white voters, who are plentiful in the swing states.